Redfield & Wilton Strategies’ latest voting intention poll finds the Conservative Party leading by 7%. This lead is relatively unchanged since our previous voting intention poll conducted exactly a week earlier. What differences that exist between the two polls fall within the margins of sampling error for both polls. The full numbers of our voting intention poll (with their changes from 27 May in parentheses are as follows):
Conservatives 43% (–)
Labour 36% (-1)
Liberal Democrat 9% (–)
Scottish National Party 4% (-1)
Green 5% (+2)
Plaid Cymru 1% (+1)
Other 3% (–)
Respondents’ reported likelihood to vote also remained the same.
This week’s and last week’s polls are remarkably similar, even across breakdowns of past voters. Our latest result therefore solidifies the considerable change in the Conservatives’ lead over the course of May from a high double-digit lead to now around 6% or 7%.
As with our previous voting intention poll, a high percentage of respondents (17%) also said they do not know how they would vote in a general election, suggesting some ambivalence towards all parties at this moment. This ambivalence may be to be expected given that the next general election is likely a few years away.