Latest London General Election Voting Intention
(5 to 7 August)

August 11, 2020
Approval Rating | Local Elections | London | Voting Intention
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Redfield & Wilton Strategies latest voting intention poll was conducted among the London public.In our most recent GB-wide polling, the Conservatives lead by 5% as they have led in every GB national poll since the General Election in December. By contrast, Labour leads the Conservatives by 19% in the capital. Altogether our results are as follows:

Conservative 29%

Labour 48%

Liberal Democrat 14%

Green 7%

Other 2%

Labour’s support in London remains stable when compared with their result in the 2019 General Election. The party was supported by 48% of Londoners in December, while our voting intention poll gives Labour the same result.  

Likelihood to vote is slightly down on the national figures from our latest GB voting intention poll, when 61% stated they are certain to vote in the event of a general election in the near future. In London, 54% are certain to vote at the next General Election, while a further 18% will probably vote.

Voting intention may be linked to the approval ratings of the two main party leaders. Prime Minister Boris Johnson currently holds a net approval rating of -12% in the capital. Less than a third (32%) of respondents approve of his job performance since the 2019 General Election.

Labour Party leader Keir Starmer, meanwhile, currently holds a net approval rating of +29%. Nonetheless, over a third (34%) neither approve nor disapprove of Starmer’s performance since he became Leader of the Labour Party in April, which indicates that the London public remains relatively unfamiliar with the Opposition Leader. Notably, Starmer holds a +12% net approval rating among 2019 Conservative voters in London.

As the public becomes increasingly familiar with the Chancellor and the furlough scheme approaches its end, Rishi Sunak’s approval rating in the capital is at net +39%. A clear majority (54%) of the London public approves of the Chancellor’s job performance since his appointment in February, while just 15% disapprove.

Sunak’s relatively recent appointment translates into 26% of Londoners saying they neither approve nor disapprove of his job performance, yet this is still 8 points lower than the percentage of respondents who have no opinion on the Labour Leader Keir Starmer. Sunak enjoys positive approval ratings across all age brackets, in both Inner and Outer London, and also among 2019 Labour supporters.

Nationwide polling conducted by Redfield & Wilton Strategies has found that the Tories are more trusted on the economy, immigration, foreign affairs, the environment, and tackling crime, while the Labour Party takes the lead as the most trusted party to tackle poverty and support the NHS. London, however, is Labour territory. Here, a plurality of the London public trust the Labour Party over the Conservative Party in every respect: to reduce poverty, tackle crime, support public transport networks, protect the environment, strengthen the economy, build the best housing, and support the NHS.

A strong plurality of London voters consider that the Labour party can be most trusted to reduce poverty (44%), support public transport networks (46%) and support the NHS (46%). Only around a fifth of Londoners believe the Conservatives are most trusted to reduce poverty (19%), support public transport networks (20%), build the best housing (19%) and support the NHS (21%). The Conservatives score better on their trustworthiness to strengthen the economy (32%) and to tackle crime (28%), yet respondents still slightly favour Labour overall on these issues. Ultimately, Labour’s greater favourability across wide-ranging issues underlines the positive view of the party’s policies, reputation, and results in London.  

Altogether, support for Labour in London remains high, and the party’s lead over the Conservatives in the capital city is substantial.

To find out more information about this research contact our research team. Redfield & Wilton Strategies is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules.

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