Redfield & Wilton Strategies’ latest voting intention poll in Great Britain finds the Labour Party leading by 20%, one point less than in our most recent poll released on Monday last week. Altogether, the full numbers (with the changes from 20 November in parentheses) are as follows:
Labour 47% (-2)
Conservative 27% (-1)
Liberal Democrat 11% (+2)
Reform UK 5% (–)
Green 5% (+1)
Scottish National Party 3% (-1)
Other 1% (-1)
When those who say they do not know how they would vote in a General Election are included, the Labour Party leads by 18%. After weighting by likelihood to vote, 12% of the sample say they do not know how they would vote, including 15% of those who voted Conservative in December 2019 and 4% of those who voted Labour.
Altogether, 89% of those who voted Labour in the last General Election say they would vote Labour again, while 56% of those who voted Conservative in 2019 say they would vote Conservative again.
62% of British voters cite the economy as one of the three most important issues that would determine how they would vote in a General Election, ahead of healthcare (52%). Respondents also select immigration (28%), education (22%), and the environment (20%).
A plurality (40%) of respondents believe a Labour Party majority would be the most likely outcome if a General Election were held in the next six months. Just 19% expect a Conservative Party majority. A further 11% expect a Conservative-led minority Government, and 10% expect a Labour-led minority Government.
The Government’s net competency rating stands at -22% this week, up one point from last Sunday. Altogether, 22% find the Government competent (+2), and 44% find the Government incompetent (+1).
Prime Minister Rishi Sunak receives a net approval rating of 0%, up three points from our poll last Sunday. Yesterday’s poll finds 33% approving of his overall job performance (+2) against the same number (33%, -1) disapproving.
Labour leader Keir Starmer’s net approval rating stands at +13%, up four points from last week. 39% approve of Starmer’s job performance (+3), while 26% disapprove (-1).
Chancellor Jeremy Hunt’s net approval rating stands at -7%, up three points since last Sunday. Overall, 34% disapprove of Hunt’s performance as Chancellor (-3), and 27% approve (–).
And finally, Keir Starmer (42%, +1) leads Rishi Sunak (37%, -1) by five points on who would be the better Prime Minister at this moment, his largest lead since Sunak became Prime Minister.