Latest GB Voting Intention (2-3 November 2022)

November 3, 2022
R&WS Research Team
Approval Rating | GB Politics | UK Elections | Voting Intention

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Redfield & Wilton Strategies’ latest voting intention poll in Great Britain finds the Labour Party leading by 17%, six points lower as in our most recent poll on Monday. Altogether, the full numbers (with the changes from 30 October in parentheses) are as follows: 

Labour 47% (-3)
Conservative 30% (+3)
Liberal Democrat 12% (+3)
Reform UK 4% (+1)
Green 3% (-2)
Scottish National Party 3% (-1)
Other 1% (-1)

When those who say they do not know how they would vote in a General Election are included, the Labour Party leads by 14%. After weighting by likelihood to vote, 14% of the sample say they do not know how they would vote, including 16% of those who voted Conservative in December 2019 and 7% of those who voted Labour. 

Altogether, 85% of those who voted Labour in the last General Election say they would vote Labour again, while 59% of those who voted Conservative in 2019 say they would vote Conservative again

Yesterday’s polling sample has 49% of respondents saying they would be ‘certain to vote’ if there were to be a General Election tomorrow. Those who voted Labour in 2019 (63%) are more likely than those who voted Conservative (52%) to say they are ‘certain to vote.’

Prime Minister Rishi Sunak receives a net approval rating of +13%, up three points from our poll on Monday. Yesterday’s poll finds 33% approving of his overall job performance (+4), against 20% disapproving (+1).

Among 2019 Conservative voters, 49% approve of Rishi Sunak’s job performance as Prime Minister. Only 8% disapprove. His net approval rating with 2019 Conservative voters stands at +41%, up seven points since Monday’s poll.

Chancellor Jeremy Hunt’s net approval rating stands at -2%, down eight points since Monday.

Labour leader Keir Starmer’s net approval rating stands at +18%, up ten points from Monday this week, and his highest net approval rating in our polling since August 2020. 40% approve of Starmer’s job performance (+5), while 22% disapprove (-5).

And finally, Rishi Sunak (43%, +2) leads Keir Starmer (37%, –) by six points on who would be the better Prime Minister at this moment.

To find out more information about this research contact our research team. Redfield & Wilton Strategies is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules. Follow us on Twitter

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