Redfield & Wilton Strategies’ latest voting intention poll in Great Britain finds the Labour Party leading by 7%, the same as in last week Wednesday’s poll. Altogether, the full numbers (with the changes from 15 June in parentheses) are as follows: 

Labour 40% (-2)

Conservative 33% (-1)

Liberal Democrat 13% (+1)

Green 5% (+1)

Scottish National Party 4% (+1)

Reform UK 5% (+2)

Plaid Cymru 0% (–)

Other 1% (–)

When those who say they do not know how they would vote in a General Election are included, the Labour Party leads by 6%. After weighting by likelihood to vote, 17% of the sample says they do not know how they would vote (+4), including 17% of those who voted Conservative in December 2019 (–) and 7% of those who voted Labour (+5). Altogether, 83% of those who voted Labour in 2019 say they would vote Labour again, while 61% of those who voted Conservative say they would vote Conservative again.

Sunday’s sample has 47% of respondents saying they would be ‘certain to vote’ if there were to be a General Election tomorrow (-8). Those who voted Conservative in 2019 (60%, -8) are more likely than those who voted Labour (55%, -12) to say they are ‘certain to vote.’

The economy (58%) ranks as the most cited important issue respondents say would determine how they would vote, ahead of healthcare (52%). Respondents also select education (27%), immigration (24%), taxation (23%), and housing (21%).

A plurality (25%, +1) of respondents believe a Labour Party majority would be the most likely outcome if a General Election were held in the next six months. 22% expect a Conservative Party majority (+1), 14% expect a Conservative-led minority Government (-5), and 12% expect a Labour-led minority Government (–).

The Government’s net competency rating is -30% in this week’s poll, one point lower than last Sunday. Altogether, 19% find the Government competent (-1), 49% find the Government incompetent (–), and 23% find the Government neither competent nor incompetent (-1).

Prime Minister Boris Johnson receives a net approval rating of -24%, decreasing by five points since Wednesday last week. Yesterday’s poll finds 51% disapproving of his overall job performance (+1), against 27% approving (-4).

Chancellor of the Exchequer Rishi Sunak’s net approval rating is negative, standing at -6%. 31% say they approve of Rishi Sunak’s job performance (-1), while 37% disapprove (-2).

Keir Starmer’s net approval rating is also negative, standing at -3%. 29% approve of Keir Starmer’s job performance (–), while 31% disapprove (-3). Meanwhile, 31% neither approve nor disapprove of Starmer’s job performance (-1).

Keir Starmer (37%, -1) leads Boris Johnson (33%, –) by 4% in terms of who Britons think would be the better Prime Minister for the UK at this moment.

Between Boris Johnson and Keir Starmer, pluralities of the public think Starmer ‘is in good physical and mental health’ (44% to 24%), ‘cares about people like me’ (38% to 25%), ‘is willing to work with other parties when possible’ (39% to 26%), ‘represents change’ (40% to 26%), ‘can bring British people together’ (38% to 32%), ‘can build a strong economy’ (36% to 34%), and ‘stands up for the interests of the United Kingdom’ (36% to 35%),

On the other hand, pluralities think Boris Johnson ‘can tackle the coronavirus pandemic’ (38% to 29%), ‘can lead the UK out of the coronavirus pandemic’ (38% to 31%), ‘knows how to get things done’ (35% to 32%), and ‘can work with foreign leaders’ (37% to 35%). 

Finally, pluralities are undecided which of the two ‘tells the truth’ (47%), ‘prioritises the environment’ (44%), ‘is creative’ (45%), or ‘has the better foreign policy strategy’ (40%).  

In a contest between the Chancellor of the Exchequer and the current Prime Minister, 28% say Rishi Sunak (–) and 32% say Boris Johnson (–) would be the better Prime Minister for the UK at this moment, while a further 41% say they don’t know (+1). 

Among those who voted Conservative in 2019, 52% say Boris Johnson would be the better Prime Minister while 25% say Rishi Sunak. 

Between Boris Johnson and Foreign Minister Elizabeth Truss, 35% say Boris Johnson would be the better Prime Minister (+1). 19% (–) meanwhile think Liz Truss would be the better Prime Minister.

Finally, Keir Starmer (38%, -3) stands well ahead of Rishi Sunak (31%, –) on who would be the better Prime Minister at this moment.