Redfield & Wilton Strategies’ latest voting intention poll in Great Britain finds the Labour Party leading by 7%, one points less than in last week Wednesday’s poll. Altogether, the full numbers (with the changes from 8-9 June in parentheses) are as follows: 

Labour 39% (-1)

Conservative 32% (–)

Liberal Democrat 15% (+2)

Green 6% (+1)

Scottish National Party 5% (+1)

Reform UK 2% (-2)

Plaid Cymru 1% (+1)

Other 2% (–)

When those who say they do not know how they would vote in a General Election are included, the Labour Party leads by 6%. After weighting by likelihood to vote, 16% of the sample says they do not know how they would vote (+1), including 16% of those who voted Conservative in December 2019 (-2) and 7% of those who voted Labour (+2). Altogether, 79% of those who voted Labour in 2019 say they would vote Labour again, while 61% of those who voted Conservative say they would vote Conservative again.

Sunday’s sample has 50% of respondents saying they would be ‘certain to vote’ if there were to be a General Election tomorrow (+3). Those who voted Conservative in 2019 (60%, -2) are more likely than those who voted Labour (54%, +4) to say they are ‘certain to vote.’

The economy (61%) ranks as the most cited important issue respondents say would determine how they would vote, ahead of healthcare (52%). Respondents also select education (28%), taxation (27%), housing (25%), and immigration (20%).

A plurality (24%, -6) of respondents believe a Labour Party majority would be the most likely outcome if a General Election were held in the next six months. 21% expect a Conservative Party majority (-2), 19% expect a Conservative-led minority Government (+3), and 12% expect a Labour-led minority Government (+3).

The Government’s net competency rating is -29% in this week’s poll, two points higher than last Sunday. Altogether, 20% find the Government competent (+3), 49% find the Government incompetent (+1), and 24% find the Government neither competent nor incompetent (–).

Prime Minister Boris Johnson receives a net approval rating of -22%, increasing by three points since Wednesday last week. Yesterday’s poll finds 52% disapproving of his overall job performance (–), against 30% approving (+3).

Chancellor of the Exchequer Rishi Sunak’s net approval rating is negative, standing at -11%. 29% say they approve of Rishi Sunak’s job performance (+2), while 40% disapprove (+1).

Keir Starmer’s net approval rating is also negative, standing at -3%. 28% approve of Keir Starmer’s job performance (-1), while 31% disapprove (-1). Meanwhile, 33% neither approve nor disapprove of Starmer’s job performance (+2).

Keir Starmer (38%, +1) leads Boris Johnson (33%, +2) by 5% in terms of who Britons think would be the better Prime Minister for the UK at this moment.

Between Boris Johnson and Keir Starmer, pluralities of the public think Starmer ‘can bring British people together’ (40% to 30%), ‘stands up for the interests of the United Kingdom’ (40% to 33%), ‘can build a strong economy’ (37% to 34%), ‘is a strong leader’ (35% to 32%), and ‘knows how to get things done’ (35% to 32%).

On the other hand, pluralities think Boris Johnson ‘can tackle the coronavirus pandemic’ (39% to 29%) and ‘can lead the UK out of the coronavirus pandemic’ (38% to 33%). 

Finally, pluralities are undecided which of the two ‘prioritises the environment’ (48%), ‘is creative’ (48%), ‘tells the truth’ (47%), or ‘has the better foreign policy strategy.’ 

In a contest between the Chancellor of the Exchequer and the current Prime Minister, 28% say Rishi Sunak (+1) and 32% say Boris Johnson (–) would be the better Prime Minister for the UK at this moment, while a further 40% say they don’t know (–). 

Among those who voted Conservative in 2019, 55% say Boris Johnson would be the better Prime Minister while 24% say Rishi Sunak. 

Between Boris Johnson and Foreign Minister Elizabeth Truss, 34% say Boris Johnson would be the better Prime Minister (-1). 19% (-3) meanwhile think Liz Truss would be the better Prime Minister.

Finally, Keir Starmer (41%, +4) stands well ahead of Rishi Sunak (31%, +1) on who would be the better Prime Minister at this moment.