Redfield & Wilton Strategies’ latest voting intention poll in Great Britain finds the Labour Party leading by 14%, unchanged from our previous poll released on Monday last week. Altogether, the full numbers (with the changes from 4 June in parentheses) are as follows:
Labour 44% (–)
Conservative 30% (–)
Liberal Democrat 13% (+1)
Reform UK 6% (+1)
Green 4% (-1)
Scottish National Party 3% (–)
Other 1% (–)
When those who say they do not know how they would vote in a General Election are included, the Labour Party leads by 13%. After weighting by likelihood to vote, 11% of the sample say they do not know how they would vote, including 14% of those who voted Conservative in December 2019 and only 1% of those who voted Labour.
Altogether, 89% of those who voted Labour in the last General Election say they would vote Labour again, while 60% of those who voted Conservative in 2019 say they would vote Conservative again.
59% of British voters cite the economy as one of the three most important issues that would determine how they would vote in a General Election, with the same number of voters also choosing healthcare (59%). Respondents also select immigration (30%), education (26%), and housing (20%).
36% of respondents believe a Labour Party majority would be the most likely outcome if a General Election were held in the next six months. A further 14% expect a Labour-led minority Government. 18% expect a Conservative Party majority, while another 12% expect a Conservative-led minority Government.
The Government’s net competency rating stands at -22% this week, up one point from last Sunday. Altogether, 22% find the Government competent (-1), and 44% find the Government incompetent (-2).
Prime Minister Rishi Sunak receives a net approval rating of -9%, unchanged from our poll last Sunday. Yesterday’s poll finds 32% approving of his overall job performance (-1) against 41% (-1) disapproving.
Labour leader Keir Starmer’s net approval rating stands at +13%, up four points from last week, and the highest net approval rating he has recorded since 26 February. 40% approve of Starmer’s job performance (–), while 27% disapprove (-4).
Chancellor Jeremy Hunt’s net approval rating stands at -11%, unchanged from last Sunday. Overall, 36% disapprove of Hunt’s performance as Chancellor (-3), and 25% approve (-3).
And finally, Keir Starmer (43%, +1) leads Rishi Sunak (33%, -4) by ten points on who would be the better Prime Minister at this moment, his largest lead over Sunak since Sunak became Prime Minister in October.