The latest research by Redfield & Wilton Strategies finds that 45% of Americans disapprove (-1) and 41% approve (+1) of President Joe Biden’s overall job performance as President. His net approval rating (-4%) is up two points from our previous poll conducted on 17 November.

Vice President Kamala Harris’ net approval rating stands at -6% (–). In our latest poll, 44% disapprove (+1) and 38% approve (+1) of Kamala Harris’ performance as Vice President.

Looking ahead to the 2024 Presidential Election, inflation is the top issue that Americans say will determine how they will vote in the election. When asked to select up to three issues that are most likely to determine how they vote in November 2024, 46% select inflation, 36% select economic growth, and 27% select abortion as determinative election issues.

Inflation is the most-selected 2024 Election issue for both Donald Trump 2020 (53%) and Joe Biden 2020 (41%) voters. Other important election issues for Biden voters include economic growth (37%), abortion (35%), and healthcare (21%), while 38% of Trump voters select economic growth, 27% select immigration, and 18% select abortion.

Our latest hypothetical voting intention finds Joe Biden and Donald Trump tied. After weighing by likelihood to vote, 41% of respondents say they would vote for Biden (-2) and 41% say they would vote for Trump (-1) if they were candidates in 2024. A further 11% say they don’t know how they would vote (+2).

Large majorities of 2020 Donald Trump voters (85%, –) and Joe Biden voters (82%, -4) maintain that they would again vote for those respective candidates. Those who voted for Donald Trump in 2020 are slightly more likely to say they will certainly (71%) or probably (14%) vote in comparison to those who voted for Joe Biden in 2020 (69% and 12%, respectively).

If Ron DeSantis and Joe Biden were the candidates in 2024, 42% of voters say they would vote for Biden (-1), while 40% (+1) say they would support DeSantis.  

An alternative 2024 Kamala Harris campaign produces a lead of 2 points for the former President. If Donald Trump and Kamala Harris were the 2024 nominees, 43% of Americans say they would vote for Trump (–) and 41% say they would vote for Harris (-2). In this scenario, 9% say they don’t know how they would vote (+1).