Joe Biden Administration Approval Ratings and Hypothetical Voting Intention (31 May 2023)

June 2, 2023
R&WS Research Team
Approval Rating | Donald Trump | Joe Biden | Kamala Harris | Ron DeSantis | US Elections | US Politics | US Presidential Election 2024 | US Public Figures

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The latest research by Redfield & Wilton Strategies finds that 51% of Americans disapprove (+6) and 37% approve (-3) of President Joe Biden’s overall job performance as President. His net approval rating (-14%) is down nine points our previous poll conducted on 17 May and is the lowest rating we have recorded for President Biden since we started our US tracker in September 2021. 

Vice President Kamala Harris’ net approval rating stands at -15% (-7), the lowest net rating we have recorded for her in our US tracker. In our latest poll, 48% disapprove (+4) and 33% approve (-3) of Kamala Harris’ performance as Vice President.

On matters of policy, the Joe Biden Administration elicits positive net approval ratings for its performance on the coronavirus pandemic (+16%), election integrity/Democracy (+11%), the environment (+8%), education (+6%), healthcare (+5%) and national security & defense (+5%).  

Americans give the Administration negative net approval ratings for its performance on the economy (-1%), housing (-3%), relations with Russia (-4%), crime/policing (-7%), relations with China (-9%), and immigration (-11%).

Looking ahead to the 2024 Presidential Election, the economy is the top issue that Americans say will determine how they will vote in the election. When asked to select up to three issues that are most likely to determine how they vote in November 2024, 60% select the economy, 30% select healthcare, and 24% select abortion as determinative election issues.

The economy is the most-selected 2024 Election issue for both Donald Trump 2020 (66%) and Joe Biden 2020 (60%) voters. Other important election issues for Biden voters include healthcare (36%), abortion (32%), and the environment (26%), while 38% of Trump voters select immigration, 30% select government spending, and 23% select policing/crime and healthcare.

Our latest hypothetical voting intention finds Joe Biden leading Donald Trump by four points nationally, the largest lead he has held over Trump in our polling since February 2022. After weighing by likelihood to vote, 45% of respondents say they would vote for Biden (+1) and 41% say they would vote for Trump (-2) if they were candidates in 2024. A further 8% say they don’t know how they would vote (+3).

Large majorities of 2020 Donald Trump voters (84%, -1) and Joe Biden voters (81%, -3) maintain that they would again vote for those respective candidates. 

An alternative 2024 Kamala Harris campaign produces a lead of one point for the former President. If Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are the 2024 nominees, 43% of Americans say they will vote for Trump (+1) and 42% say they will vote for Harris (+3). In this scenario, 9% say they don’t know how they will vote (-1).

To find out more information about this research contact our research team. Redfield & Wilton Strategies is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules. Follow us on Twitter

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