Joe Biden Administration Approval Ratings and Hypothetical Voting Intention (2-3 October 2022)

October 5, 2022
R&WS Research Team
Approval Rating | Donald Trump | Joe Biden | Kamala Harris | US Elections | US Politics | US Public Figures

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The latest research by Redfield & Wilton Strategies finds that 45% of Americans disapprove (-1) and 38% approve (+1) of President Joe Biden’s overall job performance as President. His net approval rating (-7%) now stands two percentage point higher than in polling conducted on 14-15 September.

Vice President Kamala Harris’ net approval rating stands at -9% (-4). In our latest poll, 44% disapprove (+4) and 35% approve (—) of Kamala Harris’ performance as Vice President.

On matters of policy, the Joe Biden Administration elicits positive net approval ratings in its performance on the coronavirus pandemic (+17%), the environment (+9%), education (+4%), healthcare (+4%), national security and defence (+3%), and housing (+1%).

Americans give the Administration negative net approval ratings for its performance on immigration (-9%), the economy (-6%), relations with China (-6%), crime/policing (-5%), and relations with Russia (-3%).

Looking ahead to the 2022 Midterm Election, the economy remains the top issue that Americans say will determine how they will vote in the election. When asked to select up to three issues that are most likely to determine how they vote this November, 59% (+2 from the previous poll) select the economy, 36% (-3) select abortion, and 25% (-5) select healthcare as determinative election issues.

The economy (55%) replaces abortion (47%) as the most-selected mid-term issue for Joe Biden 2020 voters, while the economy still holds the top spot for Donald Trump 2020 voters (67%). Other important election issues for Biden voters include healthcare (28%), and the environment (22%), while 39% of Trump voters select immigration, 28% select abortion, and 28% select government spending.

Regarding the 2024 Presidential Election, our latest hypothetical voting intention finds Joe Biden leading Donald Trump by 2%. After weighing by likelihood to vote, 43% of respondents say they would vote for Biden (—) and 41% say they would vote for Trump (+1) if they were candidates in 2024. A further 10% say they don’t know how they would vote (-1).

Large majorities of 2020 Donald Trump voters (87%, +2) and Joe Biden voters (87%, +5) maintain that they would again vote for those respective candidates.

An alternative 2024 Kamala Harris campaign produces a closer result. If Donald Trump and Kamala Harris were the 2024 nominees, 41% of Americans say they would vote for Trump (-1) and 41% say they would vote for Harris (+1). In this scenario, 10% say they don’t know how they would vote (-1).

To find out more information about this research contact our research team. Redfield & Wilton Strategies is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules. Follow us on Twitter

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