The latest research by Redfield & Wilton Strategies finds that 46% of Americans disapprove (–) and 40% approve (+1) of President Joe Biden’s overall job performance as President. His net approval rating (-6%) is up one point from our previous poll conducted on 2 November.

Vice President Kamala Harris’ net approval rating stands at -6% (+2). In our latest poll, 43% disapprove (-2) and 37% approve (–) of Kamala Harris’ performance as Vice President.

Looking ahead to the 2024 Presidential Election, inflation is the top issue that Americans say will determine how they will vote in the election. When asked to select up to three issues that are most likely to determine how they vote in November 2024, 50% select inflation, 34% select economic growth, and 30% select abortion as determinative election issues.

Inflation is the most-selected 2024 Election issue for Donald Trump 2020 voters (61%), while abortion (40%) is the most commonly cited issues among those who voted for Joe Biden in 2020. Other important election issues for Biden voters include inflation (38%), economic growth (31%), and social security (24%), while 39% of Trump voters select economic growth, 26% select immigration, and 22% select abortion.

Our latest hypothetical voting intention finds Joe Biden leading Donald Trump by 1%. After weighing by likelihood to vote, 43% of respondents say they would vote for Biden (+4) and 42% say they would vote for Trump (-2) if they were candidates in 2024. A further 9% say they don’t know how they would vote (-1).

Large majorities of 2020 Joe Biden voters (86%, +2) and Donald Trump voters (85%, -5) maintain that they would again vote for those respective candidates. Those who voted for Joe Biden in 2020 are more likely to say they will certainly (73%) or probably (12%) vote in comparison to those who voted for Donald Trump in 2020 (76% and 8%, respectively).

If Ron DeSantis and Joe Biden were the candidates in 2024, 43% of voters say they would vote for Biden, while 39% say they would support DeSantis. 12% say they don’t know how they would vote. 

If Donald Trump and Kamala Harris were the 2024 nominees, 43% of Americans say they would vote for Trump (-2) and 43% say they would vote for Harris (+5). In this scenario, 8% say they don’t know how they would vote (-1).