Eve of the Election Report and Final Swing States Voting Intention
(26-29 October)

November 3, 2020
R&WS Research Team
Approval Rating | Arizona | Florida | Michigan | North Carolina | Pennsylvannia | Swing States | US Elections | US Politics | US Presidential Election 2020 | Voting Intention | Wisconsin

Share this research:

Our Most Recent Research

In our final round of swing states polling,we find Joe Biden leading in six swing states. Altogether, he leads by 2% in North Carolina, 4% in Florida and Arizona, 5% in Pennsylvania, 12% in Wisconsin, and 13% in Michigan. Our final voting intention results are as follows:

Arizona (26 Oct – 29 Oct)

Joseph Biden (Democrat) 50%
Donald Trump (Republican) 46%
Jo Jorgensen (Libertarian) 2%
Howie Hawkins (Green) 0%
Other 1%
Don’t Know 2%

Florida (27 Oct – 28 Oct)

Joseph Biden (Democrat) 50%
Donald Trump (Republican) 46%
Jo Jorgensen (Libertarian) 1%
Howie Hawkins (Green) 0%
Other 0%
Don’t Know 3%

Michigan (26 Oct – 29 Oct)

Joseph Biden (Democrat) 54%
Donald Trump (Republican) 41%
Jo Jorgensen (Libertarian) 1%
Howie Hawkins (Green) 0%
Other 1%
Don’t Know 4%

North Carolina (26 Oct – 29 Oct)

Joseph Biden (Democrat) 49%
Donald Trump (Republican) 47%
Jo Jorgensen (Libertarian) 2%
Howie Hawkins (Green) 0%
Other 0%
Don’t Know 2%

Pennsylvania (26 Oct – 29 Oct)

Joseph Biden (Democrat) 50%
Donald Trump (Republican) 45%
Jo Jorgensen (Libertarian) 1%
Other 1%
Don’t Know 3%

Wisconsin (26 Oct – 29 Oct)

Joseph Biden (Democrat) 53%
Donald Trump (Republican) 41%
Jo Jorgensen (Libertarian) 2%
Other 1%
Don’t Know 3%

In short, our polling to date indicates a likely Joe Biden victory.

Nevertheless, while we are confident in our own polling, this election remains an unusual one. We have therefore identified in our Eve of the Election Report four key reasons why Donald Trump could still win.

To find out more information about this research contact our research team. Redfield & Wilton Strategies is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules. Follow us on Twitter

Share this research:

Our Most Recent Research